Match Info

Olympic Games Women - Qualification - Preliminary - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Canada W		New Zealand W

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Canada W
90.9%

New Zealand W
9.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canada W's performance.

New Zealand W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:53

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Starting Lineups
14. Alexander K. Toronto Tempo	26. Dalton T. Mid-North Whai
10. Bascoe J.	4. Hokianga-Heather P. Tokomanawa Queens
9. Ejim Y. IDK Gipuzkoa	2. Shearer E. Canberra Capitals
4. Hill S. Kutxabank Araski	14. Tofaeono E. Adelaide Lightning
12. Swords S.	33. Whittaker L.
Substitutes
25. Dut F.	6. Brow E.
3. Gibb D.	12. Dallow F. North Harbour Breeze
23. Howell A.	3. Flavell B.
1. Makeer A.	5. Rasmussen I.
30. Parchment C.	45. Whittaker C. Adelaide Lightning
7. Pellington S. Nika Siktivkar
8. Wallack T. Sopron
Coaches
. Fortner N.	. Hurst N.

Canada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Canada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:74.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
20.08.26	Canada W - Mexico W	70:64 ✺
19.08.26	Philippines W - Canada W	38:85 ✺
17.08.26	Canada W - Senegal W	72:57 ✺
World Cup Basketball Women
17.03.26	Australia W - Canada W	82:76 ✺
15.03.26	Canada W - Japan W	62:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWWLL
- New Zealand W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
20.08.26	New Zealand W - South Sudan W	82:74 ✺
18.08.26	New Zealand W - Brazil W	53:56 ✺
17.08.26	Argentina W - New Zealand W	35:57 ✺
World Cup Basketball Women
17.03.26	Puerto Rico W - New Zealand W	77:61 ✺
15.03.26	New Zealand W - USA W	46:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL

Commonwealth Games Basketball Women
14.04.18	New Zealand W - Canada W	74:58

Canada W - New Zealand W