Match Info
NBLDate: 25 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: Arena Manawatu (Palmerston North)
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Manawatu Jets |
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Otago Nuggets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.57 |
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2.25 |
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1.65 |
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2.10 |
Watch |
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1.59 |
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2.25 |
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1.57 |
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2.25 |
Watch |
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1.57 |
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2.30 |
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1.51 |
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2.39 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 (1.58) |
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2.26 ↑ (2.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 187.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manawatu Jets 58.9% | Otago Nuggets 41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Otago Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manawatu Jets that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago Nuggets than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:92 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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25. Evans K.
| 13. Louis A.
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24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
| 8. Miller-Jose I.
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4. Small I.
| 6. Moller C.
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9. Webster C. (C)
| 12. Rusbatch E. (C)
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0. Webster T.
| 5. Tuach B.
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| Substitutes |
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3. Caldwell B.
| 7. Bardsley M.
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5. Collins D.
| 4. Chisholm O.
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21. Essahaty A.
| 43. Hunt T.
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8. Makoii I.
| 18. McKenzie Z.
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36. Reed J.
| 10. Smiler C.
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2. Richards L.
| 1. Thata-Paese T.
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13. Zahran H.
| 24. Tipene P.
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| Coaches |
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. Webster T.
| . Sparrow J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 0.Neither of the teams is performing well right now.Otago Nuggets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Otago Nuggets has had a series of home games. Manawatu Jets might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manawatu Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1413:1586. (average 88.3:99.1).Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 539:577. (average 89.8:96.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NBL | | | 01.05.26 | Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets | 99:96 | | 05.07.25 | Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets | 95:101 | | 27.03.25 | Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets | 108:104 | | 02.06.24 | Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets | 88:99 | | 05.04.24 | Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets | 112:103 | | 08.06.23 | Manawatu Jets - Otago Nuggets | 99:94 | | 09.04.23 | Otago Nuggets - Manawatu Jets | 68:67 |
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