Match Info

NBL

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)


	Taranaki Airs		Manawatu Jets

	1	2
			Watch
	2.03	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.61
	2.52	1.47	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.95)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranaki Airs
41.7%

Manawatu Jets
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taranaki Airs's form might have worsened.

Manawatu Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manawatu Jets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki Airs than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taranaki Airs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manawatu Jets than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manawatu Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Taranaki Airs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Taranaki Airs (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Taranaki Airs will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Taranaki Airs (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:100

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cook A.	25. Evans K.
10. Green X.	24. Poplar Jr. J. A.
13. Moors J.	2. Richards L.
2. Samuel T.	10. Sand K. (C)
1. Stroud B.	4. Small I.
Substitutes
9. Adam Z.	7. Abbott I.
32. Bailey Q. (C)	3. Caldwell B.
22. Cooper J.	8. Makoii I.
3. Jones M.	1. McDaniel C.
00. Pearn Z.	9. Webster C.
11. Tuuta R.	0. Webster T.
5. Vea L.	13. Zahran H.
Coaches
. White J.	. Webster T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 3.

Taranaki Airs is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Manawatu Jets's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Manawatu Jets is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1883:1806. (average 94.2:90.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 804:713. (average 100.5:89.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
24.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Canterbury Rams	86:113 ✺
16.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints	71:81 ✺
07.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Southland Sharks	74:82 ✺
02.05.26	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	107:91 ✺
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Manawatu Jets
New Zealand NBL
22.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Canterbury Rams	93:100 ✺
15.05.26	Tauranga Whai - Manawatu Jets	97:99 ✺
13.05.26	Franklin Bulls - Manawatu Jets	103:112 ✺
09.05.26	Manawatu Jets - Southland Sharks	78:102 ✺
03.05.26	Southland Sharks - Manawatu Jets	118:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
09.04.26	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	85:91
13.04.25	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	111:106
18.03.25	Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets	84:93
18.05.24	Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets	108:70
30.03.24	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	78:83
17.06.23	Manawatu Jets - Taranaki Airs	83:92
29.04.23	Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets	93:86

Taranaki Airs - Manawatu Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide