Match Info

NBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Cowles Stadium (Christchurch)


	Canterbury Rams		Southland Sharks

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.76	1.88	Watch
	1.86	1.88
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.77	1.93
	1.77	1.92
	1.84	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 191.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury Rams
53.1%

Southland Sharks
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Southland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury Rams than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southland Sharks than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:95

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Brown W.	5. Asberry C.
25. Choh T.	20. Boone K.
16. Holmes J.	3. Inger B.
24. Rougeau R.	1. Jones R.
33. Withers T. (C)	33. Timmins S. (C)
Substitutes
21. Andrew J.	13. Bertinshaw D.
10. Cate I.	11. Cameron T.
1. Cate T.	14. Cooper T.
8. Dallow G.	6. Ramage J.
2. Marsh B.	15. Snow R.
30. Newton M.	10. Webster Q.
32. Patten W.	9. Wynyard T.
Coaches
. Clinton Q.	. Yim J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury Rams won 2.

Canterbury Rams is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Southland Sharks is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Canterbury Rams is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canterbury Rams won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1890:1736. (average 94.5:86.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury Rams won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1032:939. (average 93.8:85.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury Rams
New Zealand NBL
26.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Franklin Bulls	89:66 ✺
18.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Auckland Tuatara	91:80 ✺
11.07.26	Wellington Saints - Canterbury Rams	88:98 ✺
09.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Taranaki Airs	93:90 ✺
03.07.26	Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets	99:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Southland Sharks
New Zealand NBL
29.07.26	Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai	96:81 ✺
25.07.26	Wellington Saints - Southland Sharks	119:94 ✺
18.07.26	Southland Sharks - Hawkes Bay Hawks	103:62 ✺
11.07.26	Southland Sharks - Nelson Giants	83:71 ✺
01.07.26	Southland Sharks - Canterbury Rams	103:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
01.07.26	Southland Sharks - Canterbury Rams	103:98
16.05.26	Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks	95:104
11.07.25	Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks	82:101
03.05.25	Southland Sharks - Canterbury Rams	79:128
22.03.25	Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks	120:84
07.07.24	Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks	104:70
27.04.24	Southland Sharks - Canterbury Rams	65:87

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide