Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Chattanooga Mocs		Citadel Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.25	3.75
	1.28	3.4
	1.32	3.59
	1.3	3.24	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	3.53 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Mocs
73.4%

Citadel Bulldogs
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Mocs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chattanooga Mocs's performance.

Citadel Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Citadel Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Mocs than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Citadel Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3.

Chattanooga has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Citadel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chattanooga is the team to beat.

We predict that Chattanooga will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1597:1468. (average 79.9:73.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 795:699. (average 79.5:69.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Mocs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Chattanooga Mocs - Virginia Military Keydets	86:79 ✺
26.02.26	Chattanooga Mocs - UNC Greensboro Spartans	80:85 ✺
21.02.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	72:93 ✺
19.02.26	Mercer Bears - Chattanooga Mocs	90:94 ✺
14.02.26	Chattanooga Mocs - Western Carolina Catamounts	76:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL
- Citadel Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Wofford Terriers - Citadel Bulldogs	90:93 OT ✺
25.02.26	Furman Paladins - Citadel Bulldogs	72:51 ✺
21.02.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	72:93 ✺
19.02.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs	75:78 ✺
14.02.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Mercer Bears	54:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
21.02.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	72:93
07.02.26	Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs	71:78
22.02.25	Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs	76:75
04.01.25	Citadel Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	68:81
24.02.24	Citadel Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	71:62
27.01.24	Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs	90:62
08.02.23	Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs	82:63

Chattanooga Mocs - Citadel Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide