Match Info
NCAADate: 19 February 2026, Thursday
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Citadel Bulldogs |
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Samford Bulldogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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5.5 |
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1.13 |
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5.5 |
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1.12 |
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5.57 |
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1.16 |
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4.48 |
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1.17 |
Watch |
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5.5 |
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1.14 |
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5.5 |
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1.14 |
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5.75 |
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1.15 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.4 ↑ (3.99) |
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1.14 ↓ (1.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 140.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Citadel Bulldogs 17.5% | Samford Bulldogs 82.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Citadel Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Citadel Bulldogs's form might have worsened.Samford Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samford Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:76 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Citadel won 0.Citadel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Samford is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, Samford is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Citadel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 1473:1657. (average 73.7:82.9).Including home matches between the teams, Citadel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 708:788. (average 78.7:87.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Citadel Bulldogs - the odds 3.99 are the expected chance of winning is 22.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 05.02.26 | Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs | 78:64 | | 01.02.25 | Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs | 58:83 | | 01.01.25 | Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs | 86:56 | | 02.03.24 | Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs | 92:80 | | 06.01.24 | Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs | 64:80 | | 11.02.23 | Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs | 76:70 | | 31.12.22 | Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs | 63:75 |
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