Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Chattanooga Mocs		Mercer Bears

	1	2
	2.7	1.49
	2.65	1.5
	2.6	1.45
	2.63	1.51
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.62	1.45
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.99)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Mocs
36.4%

Mercer Bears
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Mocs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Mercer Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Mocs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercer Bears than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 4.

Chattanooga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mercer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mercer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1519:1434. (average 76:71.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 768:727. (average 76.8:72.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Mocs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.02.26	Furman Paladins - Chattanooga Mocs	75:70 ✺
29.01.26	Chattanooga Mocs - Wofford Terriers	55:81 ✺
24.01.26	Samford Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	75:64 ✺
21.01.26	Chattanooga Mocs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	66:67 ✺
17.01.26	Western Carolina Catamounts - Chattanooga Mocs	82:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Mercer Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Mercer Bears - Virginia Military Keydets	95:81 ✺
29.01.26	Mercer Bears - UNC Greensboro Spartans	95:77 ✺
24.01.26	Wofford Terriers - Mercer Bears	80:77 ✺
21.01.26	Mercer Bears - Western Carolina Catamounts	88:76 ✺
17.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	92:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.03.25	Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears	76:61
01.02.25	Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears	93:84
01.01.25	Mercer Bears - Chattanooga Mocs	99:94 OT
28.02.24	Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears	84:75
17.01.24	Mercer Bears - Chattanooga Mocs	60:74
11.02.23	Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears	73:56
31.12.22	Mercer Bears - Chattanooga Mocs	51:80

Chattanooga Mocs - Mercer Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide