Match Info

NBA

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Moda Center (Portland, OR)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Portland Trail Blazers		Miami Heat

	1	2
	1.67	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.63	2.41	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.41
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 235.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portland Trail Blazers
58.1%

Miami Heat
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Trail Blazers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Trail Blazers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Trail Blazers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Miami will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Miami (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Half - Miami (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Miami (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 120:116

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sharpe S.	9. Larsson P.
8. Avdija D.	22. Wiggins A.
23. Clingan D.	13. Adebayo B.
33. Camara T.	24. Powell N.
5. Holiday J.	25. Jakucionis K.
Substitutes
91. Cissoko S.	0. Fontecchio S.
9. Grant J.	15. Gardner M.
2. Love C.	11. Jaquez Jr. J.
26. Reath D.	16. Johnson K.
21. Rupert R.	5. Jovic N.
35. Williams R.	12. Smith D.
16. Yang Hansen
Coaches
. Billups C.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Portland: Lillard D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Murray K. (Lower Back Injury) Thybulle M. (Finger Injury) Wesley B. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Portland: Cissoko S. (Illness) Grant J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Henderson S. (Muscle Injury) Holiday J. (Calf Injury) Williams R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Miami: Ware K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2109:2247. (average 105.5:112.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1014:1088. (average 101.4:108.8).

Outrights of NBA for now

Miami Heat: 3.04% Portland Trail Blazers: 1.06%

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Heat - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Trail Blazers
NBA
18.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Portland Trail Blazers	110:117 ✺
17.01.26	Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Lakers	132:116 ✺
15.01.26	Portland Trail Blazers - Atlanta Hawks	117:101 ✺
13.01.26	Golden State Warriors - Portland Trail Blazers	119:97 ✺
11.01.26	Portland Trail Blazers - New York Knicks	114:123 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLL
- Miami Heat
NBA
20.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat	117:130 ✺
19.01.26	Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat	135:112 ✺
17.01.26	Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder	122:120 ✺
15.01.26	Miami Heat - Boston Celtics	114:119 ✺
13.01.26	Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns	127:121 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
08.11.25	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	136:131
21.01.25	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	107:116
11.01.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	98:119
29.03.24	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	142:82
27.02.24	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	96:106
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
16.07.23	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	78:104
NBA
07.11.22	Miami Heat - Portland Trail Blazers	107:110

Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide