Match Info

Asia Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)


	China		New Zealand

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.67	1.48
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.34	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.83)	1.54 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China
38.8%

New Zealand
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that China's form might have worsened.

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Zealand's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

China - New Zealand Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 3 - 60%). New Zealand will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. China (votes: 3 - 60%). New Zealand (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - New Zealand (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 171, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 168.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - China (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. China (votes: 4 - 57.1%). New Zealand (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Cheng Shuaipeng Zhejiang Chouzhou	5. Britt T. Canterbury Rams
21. Hu Jinqiu Zhejiang Guangsha	12. Darling M. Canterbury Rams
10. Wang Junjie	3. King M. Tauranga Whai
8. Zhao Rui Sichuan	20. Ngatai J. Wellington Saints
26. Zhu Junlong Zhejiang Guangsha	16. Smith-Milner T. Canterbury Rams
Substitutes
0. Gao Shiyan Shandong	27. Andrew J. Taranaki Airs
3. Hu Mingxuan Guangdong	11. Cameron F. Melbourne United
5. Liao Sanning Beijing Royal Fighters	0. Davison C. Taranaki Airs
35. Li Xiangbo Guangzhou Long-Lions	10. Gold B.
39. Meng Lei	15. Hunt J. Franklin Bulls
11. Yu Jiahao Zhejiang Chouzhou	6. Murray T.
17. Zhao Jiayi Zhejiang Guangsha	4. Russo-Nance D. Manawatu Jets
Coaches
. Guo S.	. Flavell J.

Preview

New Zealand is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, China won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 266:294. (average 66.5:73.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China basketball
Asia Cup Basketball
14.08.25	China - South Korea	79:71 ✺
09.08.25	China - Jordan	90:68 ✺
07.08.25	India - China	69:100 ✺
05.08.25	China - Saudi Arabia	93:88 ✺
23.02.25	Guam - China	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- New Zealand basketball
Asia Cup Basketball
14.08.25	New Zealand - Lebanon	90:86 ✺
09.08.25	Chinese Taipei - New Zealand	78:118 ✺
07.08.25	Philippines - New Zealand	86:94 ✺
05.08.25	New Zealand - Iraq	100:78 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
30.07.25	Brazil - New Zealand	89:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
18.08.23	China - New Zealand	67:77
DBB Supercup
13.08.23	New Zealand - China	68:69
World Championship Basketball
30.06.18	New Zealand - China	67:57
23.02.18	China - New Zealand	73:82

China - New Zealand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide