Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 3

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mall of Asia Arena (Pasay) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:30	ESPN


	Philippines		New Zealand

	1	2
	2.9	1.36
	2.9	1.38
	2.76	1.39
	2.54	1.47	Watch
	3	1.33
	3.12	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.61)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philippines
32.4%

New Zealand
67.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philippines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Philippines - New Zealand Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Brownlee J. Meralco Bolts	5. Britt T. New Zealand Breakers
34. Edu A. J.	8. Mennenga S. New Zealand Breakers
8. Oftana C. TNT Tropang Giga	6. Murray T. Brisbane Bullets
17. Perez J. San Miguel Beermen	20. Ngatai J. Hokkaido
24. Ramos D. Hokkaido	16. Smith-Milner T. Brisbane Bullets
Substitutes
1. De Liano J.	12. Darling M. New Zealand Breakers
15. Fajardo J. San Miguel Beermen	2. Davison C. New Zealand Breakers
42. Millora-Brown Q. Chiba	24. Harrison T. Brisbane Bullets
3. Newsome C. Meralco Bolts	7. McNaught A. New Zealand Breakers
28. Quiambao K.	22. Rasmussen K. Adelaide 36ers
33. Tamayo C. LG Sakers	1. Te Rangi R. New Zealand Breakers
9. Thompson S. Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	10. Wetzell Y. Akita
Coaches
. Cone T.	. Flavell J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philippines won 1.

In this match, New Zealand is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Philippines won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 527:645. (average 75.3:92.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philippines basketball
Southeast Asian Games Basketball
19.12.25	Philippines - Thailand	70:64 ✺
18.12.25	Philippines - Indonesia	71:68 ✺
14.12.25	Philippines - Vietnam	78:67 ✺
13.12.25	Malaysia - Philippines	58:83 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Philippines - Guam	95:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- New Zealand basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	New Zealand - Australia	77:79 ✺
28.11.25	Australia - New Zealand	84:79 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
17.08.25	Iran - New Zealand	79:73 ✺
16.08.25	China - New Zealand	98:84 ✺
14.08.25	New Zealand - Lebanon	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Asia Cup Basketball
07.08.25	Philippines - New Zealand	86:94
22.02.25	New Zealand - Philippines	87:70
21.11.24	Philippines - New Zealand	93:89
17.07.22	Philippines - New Zealand	75:92
World Championship Basketball
30.06.22	Philippines - New Zealand	60:106
27.02.22	New Zealand - Philippines	88:63
Olympic Games - Basketball
06.07.16	Philippines - New Zealand	80:89

Philippines - New Zealand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide