Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo


	Cholet Basket		Darüşşafaka

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.67
	1.5	2.68
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.7	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)	2.69 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
65%

Darüşşafaka
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cholet Basket's performance.

Darüşşafaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darüşşafaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cholet Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darüşşafaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darüşşafaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cholet Basket - Darüşşafaka Predictions

Users Predictions: Cholet Basket will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Preview

Cholet has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Darüşşafaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darüşşafaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cholet will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 91-80.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
French LNB
28.11.23	Gravelines - Cholet Basket	66:59 ✺
25.11.23	Saint-Quentin - Cholet Basket	75:60 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.11.23	VEF Riga - Cholet Basket	70:63 ✺
French LNB
19.11.23	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	69:73 ✺
15.11.23	Cholet Basket - Nancy	67:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Darüşşafaka SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
02.12.23	Merkezefendi - Darüşşafaka	83:81 ✺
26.11.23	Darüşşafaka - Tofaş	76:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.11.23	Canarias - Darüşşafaka	72:63 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
18.11.23	Samsunspor - Darüşşafaka	90:98 ✺
11.11.23	Darüşşafaka - Galatasaray	75:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
07.11.23	Darüşşafaka - Cholet Basket	80:91

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