Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1


	VEF Riga		Cholet Basket

	1	2
	1.91	1.77	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.89	1.84	Watch
	1.97	1.9
	1.95	1.9
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.16)	1.85 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VEF Riga
49.1%

Cholet Basket
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VEF Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VEF Riga's performance.

Cholet Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cholet Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VEF Riga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VEF Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cholet Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

VEF Riga - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: VEF Riga will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:78

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Preview

VEF is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cholet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

VEF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently VEF have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's VEF to win the game is with odds 1.95.

Last 1 head-to-head matches VEF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73-74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VEF Riga
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
17.11.23	Rapla - VEF Riga	71:85 ✺
14.11.23	Liepāja - VEF Riga	78:85 ✺
11.11.23	Latvijas Universitāte - VEF Riga	72:85 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.11.23	Canarias - VEF Riga	76:55 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
04.11.23	VEF Riga - Viimsi	96:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
19.11.23	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	69:73 ✺
15.11.23	Cholet Basket - Nancy	67:76 ✺
12.11.23	Cholet Basket - Paris	70:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.11.23	Darüşşafaka - Cholet Basket	80:91 ✺
French LNB
04.11.23	Le Portel - Cholet Basket	87:84 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
25.10.23	Cholet Basket - VEF Riga	74:73

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