Match Info
NBADate: 27 March 2026, FridayLocation: Rocket Arena (Cleveland, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Germany | Sky Sport Top Event |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Cleveland Cavaliers |
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Miami Heat |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 241.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cleveland Cavaliers
65.9% | Miami Heat
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Cavaliers's performance.Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Cavaliers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Miami will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 124:118 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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5.  Merrill S.
| 24. Powell N.
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4. Mobley E.
| 22.  Wiggins A.
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31. Allen J.
| 13. Adebayo B.
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45. Mitchell D.
| 14. Herro T.
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1. Harden J.
| 45. Mitchell D.
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| Coaches |
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. Atkinson K.
| . Spoelstra E.
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Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 3.Cleveland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Miami has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Cleveland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.There will not play in Cleveland: Allen J.
(Knee Injury)
Porter C.
(Groin Injury)
Sarr O.
(Calf Injury)
Strus M.
(Rest)
Tyson J.
(Toe Injury)
Wade D.
(Ankle Injury)There will not play in Miami: Rozier T.
(Suspended)We predict that Cleveland will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2247:2144. (average 112.4:107.2).Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 959:934. (average 106.6:103.8).
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Outrights of NBA for now
Cleveland Cavaliers: 6.68% Miami Heat: 0.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Cleveland Cavaliers - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 55.42%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Miami Heat - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.58%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 25.03.26 | Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat | 103:120 | | 12.11.25 | Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers | 116:130 | | 10.11.25 | Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers | 140:138 OT | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 13.07.25 | Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat | 92:72 | | NBA | | | 28.04.25 | Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers | 83:138 | | 26.04.25 | Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers | 87:124 | | 23.04.25 | Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat | 121:112 |
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