Match Info

NBB

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Corinthians Paulista		Bauru

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.42
	1.57	2.47
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	2.41 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
61.2%

Bauru
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Bauru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians Paulista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bauru could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corinthians Paulista - Bauru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Caue L.	23. Andrezao
15. Clark E.	3. Brite D.
14. Munford R.	0. Eugeniusz M.
0. Thomas D.	10. Garcia A.
10. Victao	77. Materan J.
Substitutes
4. Borges C.	7. Gustavo
3. Cardoso L.	9. Infante P.
1. Faria T.	22. Silva A.
17. Gabriel Novaes	6. Silva G.
9. Jamelao	8. Vithinho
8. Pereira K.
11. Raymundo K.
Coaches
. Leite J.	. Cezar P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 1.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Bauru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bauru has had a series of away games.

Corinthians Paulista will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1152:1164. (average 76.8:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 574:515. (average 82:73.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
07.03.26	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	79:89 ✺
20.02.26	São José dos Campos - Corinthians Paulista	95:103 ✺
18.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	82:75 ✺
09.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Unifacisa	81:75 ✺
07.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Basquete Cearense	96:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
11.03.26	São José dos Campos - Bauru	71:96 ✺
05.03.26	Bauru - Basquete Cearense	107:70 ✺
21.02.26	Flamengo - Bauru	79:92 ✺
19.02.26	Botafogo - Bauru	81:87 ✺
16.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Bauru	70:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
10.12.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	94:84
16.02.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	74:64
12.11.24	Corinthians Paulista - Bauru	103:87
06.02.24	Corinthians Paulista - Bauru	70:71
09.11.23	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	80:74
09.03.23	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	75:63
21.12.22	Corinthians Paulista - Bauru	77:72

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