Match Info

NBB

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)


	Vasco da Gama		Bauru

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	3.05	1.3	Watch
	3.63	1.27
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
29.8%

Bauru
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.

Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bauru's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bauru, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Vasco da Gama - Bauru Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bauru will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Basilio G.	23. Andrezao
24. Conceicao S.	3. Brite D.
12. Mathias T.	0. Eugeniusz M.
2. Morgan L.	10. Garcia A.
4. Vernizz A.	77. Materan J.
Substitutes
3. Bearden L.	7. Gustavo
27. Elias Oliveira	9. Infante P.
7. Fortunato J.	19. Mogi Alves
23. Honorato I.	22. Silva A.
19. Magna G.	6. Silva G.
30. Martins I.	8. Vithinho
11. Nunes P.
Coaches
. dos Santos C.	. Cezar P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.

Vasco is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bauru has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bauru could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1545:1612. (average 77.3:80.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 819:824. (average 81.9:82.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
11.02.26	Vasco da Gama - São José dos Campos	72:74 ✺
07.02.26	Brasília Basquete - Vasco da Gama	84:61 ✺
02.02.26	Pato - Vasco da Gama	75:84 ✺
20.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	60:67 ✺
17.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Paulista	67:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
10.02.26	Bauru - Minas	105:90 ✺
06.02.26	Bauru - Cruzeiro	80:77 ✺
21.01.26	União Corinthians - Bauru	103:99 OT ✺
19.01.26	Caxias do Sul - Bauru	73:74 ✺
15.01.26	Bauru - Paulistano	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
15.11.25	Bauru - Vasco da Gama	77:54
17.04.25	Bauru - Vasco da Gama	75:69
23.12.24	Vasco da Gama - Bauru	81:63
14.05.24	Vasco da Gama - Bauru	73:76
12.05.24	Vasco da Gama - Bauru	95:87 OT
09.05.24	Bauru - Vasco da Gama	67:59
07.05.24	Bauru - Vasco da Gama	80:66

Vasco da Gama - Bauru: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide