What is the expert prediction for Crvena Zvezda vs Bayern München?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Crvena Zvezda vs Bayern München. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Crvena Zvezda vs Bayern München Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, March 06, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 30

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Udyanskyy E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Crvena Zvezda		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.24	4.05	Watch
	1.25	4.02
	1.27	4.15	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.26	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	4.08 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
76.7%

Bayern München
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern München could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bayern München will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kalinic N.	0. Dimitrijevic N.
0. Miller-McIntyre C.	11. Lucic V.
95. Moneke C.	33. McCormack D.
20. Motiejunas D.	22. Mike I.
33. Nwora J.	13. Obst A.
Substitutes
21. Bolomboy J.	1. Da Silva O.
6. Butler J.	32. Gabriel W.
7. Davidovac D.	5. Giffey N.
13. Dobric O.	21. Hollatz J.
15. Izundu E.	10. Jessup J.
37. Ojeleye S.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
99. Yago	7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Pesic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 1.

Crvena Zvezda has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Bayern München has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayern München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1425:1447. (average 79.2:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 658:608. (average 82.3:76).

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Outrights of Euroleague for now

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 1.35%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	L
10	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	38	21	17	3287:3245
13	Bayern	38	17	21	3063:3168

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
25.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	91:81 ✺
Serbian Korac Cup
21.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Mega Basket	106:84 ✺
20.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Spartak Subotica	86:69 ✺
18.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Borac Čačak	93:77 ✺
Adriatic League
15.02.26	Crvena Zvezda - Igokea	94:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
26.02.26	Real Madrid - Bayern München	93:70 ✺
German Cup Basketball
21.02.26	Bayern München - Brose Bamberg	97:103 OT ✺
German BBL
17.02.26	Bayern München - Skyliners Frankfurt	85:76 ✺
15.02.26	Science City Jena - Bayern München	61:106 ✺
Euroleague
12.02.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bayern München	111:106 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
02.10.25	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	97:88
15.04.25	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	97:93 OT
06.03.25	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	100:82
29.11.24	Crvena Zvezda - Bayern München	101:77
01.03.24	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	74:66
02.11.23	Crvena Zvezda - Bayern München	74:68
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.23	Bayern München - Crvena Zvezda	84:82

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