Match Info

Euroleague - Round 20

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Udyanskyy E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Deportes 3
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Crvena Zvezda		Valencia

	1	2
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.45
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
60.2%

Valencia
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Crvena Zvezda - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Valencia will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Valencia (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Valencia (2.18) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 178.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9.5, OT - Valencia (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Valencia (votes: 12 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Butler J.	0. Badio B.
12. Kalinic N.	4. Pradilla J.
0. Miller-McIntyre C.	12. Sako N.
95. Moneke C.	1. Taylor K.
20. Motiejunas D.	13. Thompson D.
Substitutes
7. Davidovac D.	24. Costello M.
13. Dobric O.	5. De Larrea S.
4. Graham D.	7. Key B.
15. Izundu E.	6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
33. Nwora J.	8. Montero J.
37. Ojeleye S.	10. Moore O.
99. Yago	3. Reuvers N.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 3.

Crvena Zvezda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Valencia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valencia has had a series of home games.

Crvena Zvezda could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1130:1087. (average 80.7:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 589:518. (average 84.1:74).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Valencia: 3.24% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
2	Valencia	4	4	0	405:356
6	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	311:294

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
04.01.26	Ilirija - Crvena Zvezda	74:91 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Crvena Zvezda	65:87 ✺
Adriatic League
27.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Cedevita Olimpija	97:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	102:92 ✺
19.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Virtus Bologna	90:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Valencia BC
Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Valencia - Basquet Manresa	103:76 ✺
02.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	72:116 ✺
Euroleague
30.12.25	Valencia - Partizan Belgrade	86:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
28.12.25	Valencia - BC Andorra	84:79 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Valencia - Baskonia	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
21.11.25	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	76:73
30.01.24	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	82:64
06.12.23	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	85:81
29.03.23	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	92:73
06.01.23	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	75:77
15.01.21	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	91:71
18.12.20	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	76:73

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