Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 12

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Hala Gryfia (Slupsk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Czarni Słupsk		Dziki Warszawa

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	2	1.81
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.95	1.79
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.75)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Słupsk
48.5%

Dziki Warszawa
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Słupsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Dziki Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Czarni Słupsk - Dziki Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: Dziki Warszawa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dziki Warszawa will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Skele A. (C)	4. Soares R.
25. Nowakowski M.	0. Vander B.
18. Tomczak S.	25. Oguama O.
9. Wilczek D.	1. Horton L.
1. Duffy J.	2. Caruthers D.
Substitutes
2. Carter C.	5. Aleksandrowicz M.
7. Ivory D.	16. Chavez T.
11. Lambrecht T.	45. Frackiewicz L.
3. Penn J.	7. Grochowski G. (C)
12. Pluta J.	11. Kaminski G.
8. Zabrocki C.	8. Kempa K.
Coaches
. Stelmahers R.	. Legovich M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 4.

Czarni Słupsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dziki Warszawa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Czarni Słupsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Dziki Warszawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 452:407. (average 75.3:67.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Słupsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 202:192. (average 67.3:64).

Last Results with these Odds

Dziki Warszawa - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.81%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Słupsk
Polish Basket Liga
15.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Czarni Słupsk	87:64 ✺
06.12.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	63:95 ✺
21.11.25	Anwil Włocławek - Czarni Słupsk	91:80 ✺
13.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:93 ✺
07.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - MOSiR Krosno	85:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Basket Liga
14.12.25	Dziki Warszawa - Toruń	110:91 ✺
ENBL
09.12.25	Dziki Warszawa - Dubrava	72:67 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
07.12.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	76:101 ✺
23.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	79:84 ✺
ENBL
18.11.25	Dziki Warszawa - Peja	103:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
03.05.25	Czarni Słupsk - Dziki Warszawa	78:64
11.01.25	Dziki Warszawa - Czarni Słupsk	66:81
20.04.24	Czarni Słupsk - Dziki Warszawa	59:66
22.12.23	Dziki Warszawa - Czarni Słupsk	83:96
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.01.21	Czarni Słupsk - Dziki Warszawa	65:62
10.10.20	Dziki Warszawa - Czarni Słupsk	66:73

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