Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 10

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Gryfia (Slupsk)

Referee: Nowak K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Czarni Słupsk		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.36	2.9
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.32	3.29
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.36	3.03
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Słupsk
69.2%

Zielona Góra
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Słupsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duffy J.	0. Garrison C. J.
7. Ivory D.	32. Maughmer J.
25. Nowakowski M.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
21. Skele A. (C)	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
18. Tomczak S.	13. Szumert J.
Substitutes
2. Carter C.	12. Cartier P.
11. Lambrecht T.	10. Fayne P.
3. Penn J.	1. Gorenczyk M.
12. Pluta J.	23. Sitnik M.
9. Wilczek D.	77. Woroniecki M.
8. Zabrocki C.
Coaches
. Stelmahers R.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Czarni Słupsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Czarni Słupsk is the team to beat.

We predict that Czarni Słupsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1378:1439. (average 68.9:72).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Słupsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 683:676. (average 68.3:67.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Słupsk
Polish Basket Liga
21.11.25	Anwil Włocławek - Czarni Słupsk	91:80 ✺
13.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:93 ✺
07.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - MOSiR Krosno	85:81 ✺
02.11.25	Toruń - Czarni Słupsk	98:111 ✺
25.10.25	Czarni Słupsk - Start Lublin	98:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
22.11.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	95:81 ✺
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
09.11.25	Zielona Góra - Legia Warsaw	71:88 ✺
01.11.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	80:66 ✺
26.10.25	Zielona Góra - Dąbrowa Górnicza	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
30.04.25	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	75:77
05.01.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	81:54
13.04.24	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	89:80
17.12.23	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	73:69
30.01.23	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	64:66
06.10.22	Zielona Góra - Czarni Słupsk	85:93
10.03.22	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	80:63

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