Match Info
NBADate: 21 November 2025, FridayLocation: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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New Orleans Pelicans |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 234.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dallas Mavericks
60.3% | New Orleans Pelicans
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)New Orleans Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -4.5, OT - Dallas (1.97) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 232.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dallas Mavericks will win
(27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Mavericks will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 20 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:115 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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32.  Flagg C.
| 2. Jones H.
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25. Washington P. J.
| 1. Williamson Z.
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21. Gafford D.
| 22. Queen D.
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00. Christie M.
| 25. Murphy T.
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10. Williams B.
| 0. Fears J.
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| Coaches |
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. Kidd J.
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.Recent form of Dallas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).New Orleans is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. Dallas could have a small edge in this match.There will not play in Dallas: Davis A.
(Calf Injury)
Exum D.
(Knee Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Nembhard R.
(Knee Injury)There will not play in New Orleans: Matkovic K.
(Calf Injury)
Murray D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Poole J.
(Muscle Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Flagg C.
(Illness)
Martin Ca.
(Illness)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2363:2265. (average 118.2:113.3).Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1280:1192. (average 116.4:108.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Dallas Mavericks - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 59.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 05.11.25 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 99:101 | | 21.02.25 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 111:103 | | 29.01.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks | 136:137 | | 15.01.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Dallas Mavericks | 119:116 | | 19.11.24 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 132:91 | | 15.01.24 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 125:120 | | 13.01.24 | Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Pelicans | 108:118 |
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✺ - difficult match;
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