Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Dayton Flyers		Davidson Wildcats

	1	2
	1.4	2.85
	1.48	2.7
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.82
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.41	2.75
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	2.79 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayton Flyers
66.1%

Davidson Wildcats
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dayton Flyers's performance.

Davidson Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Davidson Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Davidson Wildcats than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 5.

Dayton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Davidson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dayton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1046:968. (average 74.7:69.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dayton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 593:544. (average 74.1:68).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	99:73 ✺
03.02.26	Dayton Flyers - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	72:70 ✺
30.01.26	St. Louis Billikens - Dayton Flyers	102:71 ✺
27.01.26	Dayton Flyers - Rhode Island Rams	76:81 OT ✺
24.01.26	Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Davidson Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.02.26	Davidson Wildcats - Loyola IL Ramblers	84:64 ✺
03.02.26	Davidson Wildcats - St. Louis Billikens	82:91 ✺
31.01.26	Richmond Spiders - Davidson Wildcats	54:79 ✺
28.01.26	George Mason Patriots - Davidson Wildcats	60:52 ✺
24.01.26	Davidson Wildcats - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	69:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.02.25	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	69:63
27.02.24	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	80:66
03.01.24	Davidson Wildcats - Dayton Flyers	59:72
17.01.23	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	68:61
31.12.22	Davidson Wildcats - Dayton Flyers	55:69
05.03.22	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	82:76
08.01.21	Davidson Wildcats - Dayton Flyers	78:89 OT (72:72)

Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide