Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Saint Josephs Hawks		Dayton Flyers

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	3	1.35
	3.21	1.37
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.33
	3.23	1.34
	3.35	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.67)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint Josephs Hawks
30.1%

Dayton Flyers
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint Josephs Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint Josephs Hawks's form might have worsened.

Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dayton Flyers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint Josephs Hawks than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint Josephs Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dayton Flyers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint Josephs won 1.

Saint Josephs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dayton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Saint Josephs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dayton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Saint Josephs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1263:1284. (average 66.5:67.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Saint Josephs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 614:587. (average 68.2:65.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint Josephs Hawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.01.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Saint Josephs Hawks	79:72 ✺
14.01.26	Saint Josephs Hawks - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	68:64 ✺
11.01.26	Richmond Spiders - Saint Josephs Hawks	65:67 ✺
07.01.26	Saint Josephs Hawks - Duquesne Dukes	97:90 OT ✺
03.01.26	Saint Josephs Hawks - Davidson Wildcats	56:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWL
- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.01.26	La Salle Explorers - Dayton Flyers	67:64 ✺
16.01.26	Dayton Flyers - Loyola IL Ramblers	78:51 ✺
13.01.26	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	65:71 ✺
06.01.26	Dayton Flyers - George Washington Colonials	79:72 ✺
03.01.26	Loyola IL Ramblers - Dayton Flyers	68:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.03.25	Dayton Flyers - Saint Josephs Hawks	68:73 OT
24.01.25	Dayton Flyers - Saint Josephs Hawks	77:72
06.02.24	Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers	79:94
09.03.23	Dayton Flyers - Saint Josephs Hawks	60:54
04.01.23	Dayton Flyers - Saint Josephs Hawks	76:56
19.02.22	Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers	62:74
24.02.21	Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers	97:84

Saint Josephs Hawks - Dayton Flyers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide