Match Info

NBA

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	NBA League Pass
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Denver Nuggets		Miami Heat

	1	2
	1.26	4.1	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.27	4.12
	1.27	3.72	Watch
			Watch
	1.28	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	4.02 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 241.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Nuggets
76.1%

Miami Heat
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Miami will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -11, OT - Denver (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 240, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 3 - 50%). Miami (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 126:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Johnson C.	9. Larsson P.
32. Gordon A.	22. Wiggins A.
15. Jokic N.	13. Adebayo B.
0. Braun C.	24. Powell N.
27. Murray J.	45. Mitchell D.
Substitutes
11. Brown B.	0. Fontecchio S.
10. Hardaway T.	25. Jakucionis K.
21. Jones S.	11. Jaquez Jr. J.
22. Nnaji Z.	16. Johnson K.
24. Pickett J.	5. Jovic N.
3. Strawther J. L.	12. Smith D.
5. Tyson H.	7. Ware K.
17. Valanciunas J.
8. Watson P.
Coaches
. Adelman D.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 5.

Denver is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Miami has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Denver is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Denver: Murray J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Miami: Jakucionis K. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Denver won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2201:2003. (average 110.1:100.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1333:1215. (average 111.1:101.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Nuggets
NBA
03.11.25	Denver Nuggets - Sacramento Kings	130:124 ✺
31.10.25	Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets	109:107 ✺
29.10.25	Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Pelicans	122:88 ✺
27.10.25	Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets	114:127 ✺
25.10.25	Denver Nuggets - Phoenix Suns	133:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Miami Heat
NBA
03.11.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Miami Heat	119:120 ✺
02.11.25	Los Angeles Lakers - Miami Heat	130:120 ✺
30.10.25	San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat	107:101 ✺
28.10.25	Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets	144:117 ✺
26.10.25	Miami Heat - New York Knicks	115:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
17.01.25	Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets	113:133
08.11.24	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	135:122
13.03.24	Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets	88:100
29.02.24	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	103:97
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
14.07.23	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	112:81
NBA
12.06.23	Denver Nuggets - Miami Heat	94:89
09.06.23	Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets	95:108

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