Match Info

NBA

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Denver Nuggets		Milwaukee Bucks

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.57	1.56	Watch
	2.85	1.4	Watch
	2.81	1.5
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.02)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 218.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Nuggets
34.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denver Nuggets's form might have worsened.

Milwaukee Bucks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milwaukee Bucks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milwaukee Bucks than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milwaukee Bucks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Milwaukee will win (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 14 - 70%). Milwaukee (votes: 6 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 216 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 211.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Denver (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Milwaukee (votes: 6 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 106:112

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Tyson H.	20. Green A.
8. Watson P.	34. Antetokounmpo G.
32. Gordon A.	3. Turner M.
21. Jones S.	13. Rollins R.
24. Pickett J.	7. Porter K.
Coaches
. Adelman D.	. Rivers D.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Denver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Denver has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Johnson C. (Knee Injury) Jokic N. (Knee Injury) Valanciunas J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Milwaukee: Prince T. (Neck Injury)

There are questionable in Denver: Jones S. (Foot Injury) Murray J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Denver won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2228:2147. (average 111.4:107.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1125:1086. (average 112.5:108.6).

Outrights of NBA for now

Denver Nuggets: 3.38% Milwaukee Bucks: 0.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Denver Nuggets - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.56%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Milwaukee Bucks - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Nuggets
NBA
09.01.26	Denver Nuggets - Atlanta Hawks	87:110 ✺
07.01.26	Boston Celtics - Denver Nuggets	110:114 ✺
05.01.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Denver Nuggets	124:125 OT ✺
04.01.26	Brooklyn Nets - Denver Nuggets	127:115 ✺
02.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Denver Nuggets	113:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWLL
- Milwaukee Bucks
NBA
09.01.26	Los Angeles Lakers - Milwaukee Bucks	101:105 ✺
07.01.26	Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks	120:113 ✺
04.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Milwaukee Bucks	98:115 ✺
02.01.26	Milwaukee Bucks - Charlotte Hornets	122:121 ✺
31.12.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Washington Wizards	113:114 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA Las Vegas Summer League
10.07.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Denver Nuggets	90:89
NBA
26.03.25	Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks	127:117
27.02.25	Milwaukee Bucks - Denver Nuggets	121:112
12.02.24	Milwaukee Bucks - Denver Nuggets	112:95
29.01.24	Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks	113:107
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
07.07.23	Milwaukee Bucks - Denver Nuggets	92:85
NBA
25.03.23	Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks	129:106

Denver Nuggets - Milwaukee Bucks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide