Match Info

Lega A - Round 26

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Cittadella dello Sport (Tortona)

Referee: Attard M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Basket Trento

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.65
	1.5	2.67	Watch
	1.52	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	2.55 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
63%

Basket Trento
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona Basket Tortona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket Trento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	22. Aldridge P.
5. Manjon E.	8. Jogela M.
17. Olejniczak D.	3. Jones D.
12. Strautins A.	21. Mawugbe S.
1. Vital C.	1. Steward D.
Substitutes
11. Baldasso T.	11. Airhienbuwa T.
19. Biligha P.	99. Battle K.
7. Chapman B.	26. Bayehe J.
3. Hubb P.	7. Cheickh Niang P.
6. Pecchia A.	10. Forray A.
25. Riismaa J.	68. Hassan P.
9. Tandia L.	23. Jakimovski A.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. Cancellieri M.

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Trento has had a series of away games.

Tortona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1366:1288. (average 80.4:75.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 733:649. (average 81.4:72.1).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Trento: 2.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Tortona	2	1	1	171:201	2
9	Trento	2	1	1	173:171	2

Last Results with these Odds

Derthona Basket Tortona - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.04.26	Treviso Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	91:86 ✺
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Cantù	100:73 ✺
08.03.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:78 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Basket Trento
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.03.26	Venezia - Basket Trento	87:106 ✺
22.03.26	Basket Trento - Basket Brescia	77:85 ✺
Eurocup
18.03.26	Beşiktaş - Basket Trento	77:76 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.03.26	Trieste - Basket Trento	84:78 ✺
Eurocup
11.03.26	Venezia - Basket Trento	90:94 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
19.10.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	89:75
01.03.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:89
29.12.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	91:77
13.04.24	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	83:81
26.11.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	83:80 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	89:71
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.05.23	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	81:82

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