Match Info

Lega A - Round 4

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)

Referee: Valzani A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Trapani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.74	2.03	Watch
	1.85	1.93
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
54.6%

Trapani
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Tortona will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Trapani will win (votes: 17 - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trapani: 69.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trapani will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	7. Alibegovic A.
5. Manjon E.	9. Allen T.
17. Olejniczak D.	3. Ford J.
6. Pecchia A.	6. Rossato R.
1. Vital C.	15. Sanogo A.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.	5. Arcidiacono R.
19. Biligha P.	0. Cappelletti A.
7. Chapman B.	00. Eboua P.
3. Hubb P.	20. Hurt M.
25. Riismaa J.	11. Petrucelli J.
11. Tandia L.	10. Pugliatti F.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. Repesa J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tortona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 968:965. (average 80.7:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 479:489. (average 79.8:81.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Derthona Basket Tortona - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.10.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	89:75 ✺
12.10.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	107:95 ✺
05.10.25	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:74 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	88:95 ✺
10.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	70:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL
- Pallacanestro Trapani
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.10.25	Cantù - Trapani	63:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Trapani - Tofaş	89:91 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.25	Trapani - Venezia	109:102 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.10.25	Trapani - Canarias	78:84 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.10.25	Trieste - Trapani	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
05.04.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani	91:101
26.10.24	Trapani - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:84
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
31.01.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani	71:72
22.11.20	Trapani - Derthona Basket Tortona	57:85
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
05.02.20	Trapani - Derthona Basket Tortona	90:83 OT (74:74)
20.11.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani	76:75
03.02.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trapani	89:82

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