Match Info

Lega A - Round 3

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: BLM Group Arena (Trento)

Referee: Attard M. (Ita)


	Basket Trento		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.69	2.17
	1.64	2.25
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.17	Watch
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Trento
56.2%

Derthona Basket Tortona
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Tortona (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tortona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Aldridge P.	4. Gorham J.
8. Jogela M.	5. Manjon E.
3. Jones D.	17. Olejniczak D.
21. Mawugbe S.	6. Pecchia A.
1. Steward D.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
26. Bayehe J.	13. Baldasso T.
13. Cattapan F.	19. Biligha P.
7. Cheickh Niang P.	7. Chapman B.
29. Fall O.	10. Di Meo E.
10. Forray A.	3. Hubb P.
68. Hassan P.	25. Riismaa J.
23. Jakimovski A.	11. Tandia L.
Coaches
. Cancellieri M.	. Fioretti M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Trento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tortona has had a series of home games.

Trento could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1199:1291. (average 74.9:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 550:558. (average 78.6:79.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Basket Trento - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 56.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Trento
Eurocup
16.10.25	London Lions - Basket Trento	87:71 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.10.25	Basket Brescia - Basket Trento	72:63 ✺
Eurocup
08.10.25	KK Budućnost - Basket Trento	96:107 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.10.25	Basket Trento - Cantù	109:69 ✺
Eurocup
01.10.25	Basket Trento - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	48:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Treviso Basket	107:95 ✺
05.10.25	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:74 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	88:95 ✺
10.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	70:81 ✺
06.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	98:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
01.03.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:89
29.12.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	91:77
13.04.24	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	83:81
26.11.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	83:80 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	89:71
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.05.23	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	81:82
19.05.23	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:76

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