Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportska dvorana Gospino polje (Dubrovnik)


	Dubrovnik		Alkar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.68	Watch
	1.38	2.83
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.38	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	2.71 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrovnik
65.9%

Alkar
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrovnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubrovnik than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dubrovnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alkar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alkar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dubrovnik - Alkar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Andric L.	3. Cvitanovic L.
8. Dubelj P.	12. Kresic M.
88. Gulin I.	2. Marcinkovic P.
3. Klaric L.	11. Matulina M.
12. Vodopija I. (C)	15. Spaleta M.
Substitutes
25. Batinic J.	1. Domazet E.
7. Francesevic L.	4. Gordon D.
9. Gasparac M.	35. Jukic M. (C)
11. Loncovic M.	31. Karamarko G.
13. Tomasevic M.	9. Klepo A.
4. Vincic L.	8. Sisko F.
5. Wheeler J.	17. Tomasevic M.
Coaches
. Gunjevic G.	. Dominovic R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dubrovnik won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dubrovnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dubrovnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Dubrovnik will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dubrovnik won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 585:541. (average 73.1:67.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dubrovnik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 392:340. (average 78.4:68).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Alkar	2	1	1	173:175	3
12	Dubrovnik	2	0	2	151:175	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Dubrovnik
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
03.05.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Dubrovnik	82:97 ✺
25.04.26	Dubrovnik - Dubrava	76:71 ✺
19.04.26	Kvarner - Dubrovnik	64:75 ✺
15.04.26	Dubrovnik - Virtus Zagreb	80:83 ✺
10.04.26	KK Zadar - Dubrovnik	100:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLL
- KK Alkar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
01.05.26	GKK Šibenka - Alkar	91:88 ✺
25.04.26	Alkar - Dinamo Zagreb	77:72 ✺
19.04.26	Dubrava - Alkar	85:69 ✺
15.04.26	Alkar - Kvarner	77:69 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	80:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
14.01.26	Dubrovnik - Alkar	79:60
26.10.25	Alkar - Dubrovnik	70:72
08.04.25	Dubrovnik - Alkar	95:78
25.01.25	Alkar - Dubrovnik	73:64
09.11.24	Dubrovnik - Alkar	64:55
17.04.24	Dubrovnik - Alkar	76:72
10.02.24	Alkar - Dubrovnik	58:57

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