Match Info

NCAA

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Duke Blue Devils		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	1.22	4.5
	1.22	4.4
	1.22	3.9
	1.24	4.3
	1.27	3.3	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.21	4.27
	1.26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)	4.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duke Blue Devils
76.9%

Louisville Cardinals
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Duke Blue Devils's performance.

Louisville Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville Cardinals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duke Blue Devils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duke won 5.

Duke is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Louisville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Louisville has had a series of home games.

In this match, Duke is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Duke won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1475:1364. (average 73.8:68.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Duke won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 536:463. (average 76.6:66.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duke Blue Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Duke Blue Devils - Wake Forest Demon Deacons	90:69 ✺
17.01.26	Stanford Cardinal - Duke Blue Devils	50:80 ✺
14.01.26	California Golden Bears - Duke Blue Devils	56:71 ✺
10.01.26	Duke Blue Devils - Southern Methodist Mustangs	82:75 ✺
06.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	73:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Tech Hokies	85:71 ✺
17.01.26	Pittsburgh Panthers - Louisville Cardinals	59:100 ✺
13.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	70:79 ✺
10.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Boston College Eagles	75:62 ✺
06.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	73:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.01.26	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	73:84
15.03.25	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	73:62
08.12.24	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	65:76
28.02.24	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	84:59
23.01.24	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	69:83
20.02.23	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	79:62
29.01.22	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	65:74

Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide