Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Louisville Cardinals		Duke Blue Devils

	1	2
	1.87	1.95
	1.86	1.86
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.88	1.82
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville Cardinals
49.5%

Duke Blue Devils
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duke Blue Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Louisville will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Duke will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Louisville (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Duke (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Louisville (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Louisville (votes: 2 - 50%). Duke (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 0.

In recent matches, Louisville has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Duke is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Duke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Duke will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1291:1391. (average 67.9:73.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 828:855. (average 69:71.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Stanford Cardinal - Louisville Cardinals	80:76 ✺
30.12.25	California Golden Bears - Louisville Cardinals	70:90 ✺
20.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Montana Grizzlies	94:54 ✺
16.12.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Louisville Cardinals	83:62 ✺
13.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Memphis Tigers	99:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW
- Duke Blue Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Florida State Seminoles - Duke Blue Devils	87:91 ✺
31.12.25	Duke Blue Devils - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	85:79 ✺
20.12.25	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Duke Blue Devils	81:82 ✺
16.12.25	Duke Blue Devils - Lipscomb Bisons	97:73 ✺
06.12.25	Michigan State Spartans - Duke Blue Devils	60:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.03.25	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	73:62
08.12.24	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	65:76
28.02.24	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	84:59
23.01.24	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	69:83
20.02.23	Duke Blue Devils - Louisville Cardinals	79:62
29.01.22	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	65:74
10.03.21	Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils	56:70

Louisville Cardinals - Duke Blue Devils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide