Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Duke Blue Devils		Michigan Wolverines

	1	2
	2.25	1.6
	2.18	1.6
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.39	1.54
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duke Blue Devils
42.2%

Michigan Wolverines
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duke Blue Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duke Blue Devils's form might have worsened.

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan Wolverines's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duke Blue Devils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan Wolverines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duke Blue Devils - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:75

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Preview

Duke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Michigan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:69.

Including home match between the teams, Duke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duke Blue Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Syracuse Orange	101:64 ✺
14.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Clemson Tigers	67:54 ✺
10.02.26	Pittsburgh Panthers - Duke Blue Devils	54:70 ✺
07.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	71:68 ✺
03.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Boston College Eagles	67:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW
- Michigan Wolverines basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Michigan Wolverines	80:91 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - UCLA Bruins	86:56 ✺
11.02.26	Northwestern Wildcats - Michigan Wolverines	75:87 ✺
08.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Michigan Wolverines	61:82 ✺
05.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	110:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.12.13	Duke Blue Devils - Michigan Wolverines	79:69

Duke Blue Devils - Michigan Wolverines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide