Match Info
NCAADate: 7 February 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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North Carolina Tar Heels |
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Duke Blue Devils |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
3.1 |
|
1.33 |
|
 |
3.26 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
2.83 |
|
1.39 |
 Watch |
 |
3.25 |
|
1.33 |
|
 |
3.23 |
|
1.34 |
|
 |
3.35 |
|
1.34 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.24) |
|
1.35 ↑
(1.34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 150.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Carolina Tar Heels
29.8% | Duke Blue Devils
70.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Tar Heels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Duke Blue Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-4.9%)North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:78 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 2.North Carolina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Duke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Duke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Duke is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1557:1560. (average 77.9:78).Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 707:708. (average 78.6:78.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 14.03.25 | Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels | 74:71 | | 08.03.25 | North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils | 69:82 | | 01.02.25 | Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels | 87:70 | | 09.03.24 | Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels | 79:84 | | 03.02.24 | North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils | 93:84 | | 04.03.23 | North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils | 57:62 | | 04.02.23 | Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels | 63:57 |
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