Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Duquesne Dukes		Richmond Spiders

	1	2
	1.42	2.75
	1.42	2.7
	1.5	2.68
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	2.68 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duquesne Dukes
65%

Richmond Spiders
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duquesne Dukes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Richmond Spiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duquesne Dukes than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duquesne Dukes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Spiders than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Spiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Duquesne Dukes - Richmond Spiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duquesne won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Duquesne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Duquesne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Duquesne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1064:1225. (average 62.6:72.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Duquesne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 378:445. (average 54:63.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Duquesne: 0.22% Richmond Spiders: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duquesne Dukes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.03.26	Rhode Island Rams - Duquesne Dukes	64:52 ✺
28.02.26	St. Louis Billikens - Duquesne Dukes	91:76 ✺
25.02.26	Duquesne Dukes - Davidson Wildcats	56:67 ✺
21.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	78:66 ✺
18.02.26	Duquesne Dukes - La Salle Explorers	62:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Richmond Spiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers	60:65 ✺
28.02.26	Loyola IL Ramblers - Richmond Spiders	69:66 ✺
21.02.26	Richmond Spiders - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	99:94 ✺
18.02.26	Davidson Wildcats - Richmond Spiders	65:63 ✺
14.02.26	Richmond Spiders - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	67:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
05.02.25	Richmond Spiders - Duquesne Dukes	73:68
16.01.24	Duquesne Dukes - Richmond Spiders	61:63
07.01.23	Richmond Spiders - Duquesne Dukes	75:73
01.02.22	Duquesne Dukes - Richmond Spiders	57:74
04.03.21	Richmond Spiders - Duquesne Dukes	62:67
20.02.21	Richmond Spiders - Duquesne Dukes	79:72
06.03.20	Duquesne Dukes - Richmond Spiders	62:73

Duquesne Dukes - Richmond Spiders