Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Dayton Flyers		Duquesne Dukes

	1	2
	1.29	3.45
	1.3	3.25
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayton Flyers
71.7%

Duquesne Dukes
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Duquesne Dukes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duquesne Dukes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 4.

Dayton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Duquesne is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dayton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dayton is the team to beat.

We predict that Duquesne will win today's game, with odds of 3.06.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1477:1281. (average 73.9:64.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dayton won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 827:708. (average 75.2:64.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	67:82 ✺
15.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	70:59 ✺
06.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	99:73 ✺
03.02.26	Dayton Flyers - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	72:70 ✺
30.01.26	St. Louis Billikens - Dayton Flyers	102:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Duquesne Dukes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Duquesne Dukes - La Salle Explorers	62:61 ✺
14.02.26	St. Bonaventure Bonnies - Duquesne Dukes	73:78 ✺
07.02.26	Duquesne Dukes - George Washington Colonials	88:86 ✺
04.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Duquesne Dukes	65:71 ✺
01.02.26	Duquesne Dukes - Rhode Island Rams	76:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.01.26	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	65:71
15.02.25	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	77:76
21.01.25	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	62:82
14.03.24	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	57:65
13.02.24	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	75:59
12.01.24	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	62:72
28.12.22	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	69:57

Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide