Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Richmond Spiders		Dayton Flyers

	1	2
	2.8	1.41
	2.6	1.45
	2.74	1.48
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.02)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Spiders
34.9%

Dayton Flyers
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Spiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Dayton Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Spiders than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-3%)

Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.

Recent performances by Richmond have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dayton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dayton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dayton might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Dayton will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 974:1083. (average 60.9:67.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 439:442. (average 62.7:63.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Spiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Loyola IL Ramblers - Richmond Spiders	69:66 ✺
21.02.26	Richmond Spiders - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	99:94 ✺
18.02.26	Davidson Wildcats - Richmond Spiders	65:63 ✺
14.02.26	Richmond Spiders - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	67:78 ✺
10.02.26	Richmond Spiders - George Mason Patriots	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
27.02.26	George Washington Colonials - Dayton Flyers	66:68 ✺
24.02.26	Dayton Flyers - St. Louis Billikens	77:62 ✺
21.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	78:66 ✺
18.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	67:82 ✺
15.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	70:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	Dayton Flyers - Richmond Spiders	74:64 OT
27.01.24	Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers	69:64
28.01.23	Dayton Flyers - Richmond Spiders	86:60
12.03.22	Dayton Flyers - Richmond Spiders	64:68
01.03.22	Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers	53:55
25.01.20	Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers	79:87
06.01.19	Dayton Flyers - Richmond Spiders	72:48

Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide