Match Info

Basket Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Dziki Warszawa		Legia Warsaw

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.71	2.16
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.65	2.18
	1.95	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.95)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dziki Warszawa
53.7%

Legia Warsaw
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dziki Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dziki Warszawa's performance.

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dziki Warszawa will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dziki Warszawa: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dziki Warszawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Soares R.	23. Kolenda M. (C)
0. Vander B.	42. Ponsar C.
25. Oguama O.	40. Hunter S.
1. Horton L.	3. Pluta A.
2. Edge D.	0. Graves J.
Substitutes
5. Aleksandrowicz M.	7. Brewton D.
16. Chavez T.	1. Czapla B.
45. Frackiewicz L.	12. Jasiewicz W.
7. Grochowski G. (C)	15. Silins O.
11. Kaminski G.	13. Tass M.
8. Kempa K.	5. Tomaszewski W.
12. Sosna J.	32. Wilczek M.
Coaches
. Legovich M.	. Rannula H.

Preview

SK Legia Warszawa leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dziki Warszawa won 1.

Dziki Warszawa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dziki Warszawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 691:717. (average 76.8:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dziki Warszawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 254:253. (average 84.7:84.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Legia	2	1	1	166:180	3
5	Dziki Warszawa	1	1	0	102:63	2

Last Results with these Odds

Dziki Warszawa - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.58%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Basket Liga
29.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	78:76 ✺
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80 ✺
21.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	88:73 ✺
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78 ✺
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL
- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
29.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	78:76 ✺
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80 ✺
21.05.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Legia Warsaw	86:98 ✺
19.05.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Legia Warsaw	92:91 ✺
16.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	89:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
29.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	78:76
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80
28.03.26	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	88:95
23.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	79:84
01.03.25	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	70:72
27.10.24	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	73:66
13.01.24	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	96:86

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