Match Info

POLAND: ENERGA BASKET LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Hala Centrum (Dabrowa Gornicza)


	Dąbrowa Górnicza		Astoria Bydgoszcz

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2	1.7
	2.04	1.75
	2.21	1.7
	2.1	1.67
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.07	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.76)	1.69 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dąbrowa Górnicza
44.5%

Astoria Bydgoszcz
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dąbrowa Górnicza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dąbrowa Górnicza's form might have worsened.

Astoria Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astoria Bydgoszcz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dąbrowa Górnicza than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dąbrowa Górnicza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astoria Bydgoszcz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Dąbrowa Górnicza - Astoria Bydgoszcz Predictions

Users Predictions: Dąbrowa Górnicza will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:92

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dąbrowa Górnicza won 2.

Dąbrowa Górnicza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Astoria Bydgoszcz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Astoria Bydgoszcz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dąbrowa Górnicza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 554-615.

Including matches at home between the teams Dąbrowa Górnicza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 241-266.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
Polish Basket Liga
28.04.23	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	91:89 ✺
21.04.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Dąbrowa Górnicza	90:83 ✺
17.04.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Dąbrowa Górnicza	80:88 ✺
13.04.23	Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza	106:77 ✺
08.04.23	Czarni Słupsk - Dąbrowa Górnicza	83:74 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL
- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish Basket Liga
30.04.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Toruń	90:100 ✺
23.04.23	Czarni Słupsk - Astoria Bydgoszcz	82:78 ✺
16.04.23	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Astoria Bydgoszcz	88:80 ✺
10.04.23	Anwil Włocławek - Astoria Bydgoszcz	97:81 ✺
31.03.23	Legia Warsaw - Astoria Bydgoszcz	96:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
08.01.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Dąbrowa Górnicza	78:80
07.02.22	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Astoria Bydgoszcz	80:94
16.10.21	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Dąbrowa Górnicza	92:62
03.01.21	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Astoria Bydgoszcz	89:86
24.09.20	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Dąbrowa Górnicza	90:78
08.03.20	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Astoria Bydgoszcz	72:86
09.11.19	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Dąbrowa Górnicza	89:93

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