Match Info

Date: 21 June 2022, Tuesday

Location: Larissa Neapolis Indoor Arena (Larissa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Ermis Agias		Promitheas Patras

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.85
	1.4	2.75
	1.34	3.08
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Agias
67.6%

Promitheas Patras
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Agias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Promitheas Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Agias than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.9%	0%	5.1%

Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras Predictions

Users Predictions: Ermis Agias will win (37 of 39 users predict this - 94.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.95% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Preview

4th leg. Larisa B.C. leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermis Agias won 3.

Recent matches Ermis Agias is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Promitheas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Promitheas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ermis Agias is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ermis Agias to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ermis Agias won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 790-806.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis Agias won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 326-338.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Agias Larissa
Greek Basket League A1
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78 ✺
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84 ✺
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89 ✺
08.06.22	Panathinaikos - Ermis Agias	89:43 ✺
05.06.22	Ermis Agias - Panathinaikos	74:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWLW
- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78 ✺
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84 ✺
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89 ✺
04.06.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Promitheas Patras	106:69 ✺
01.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Olympiacos Piraeus	72:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89
11.05.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	84:77
23.10.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	91:77
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	73:81
Greek Basket League A1
06.02.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	81:63

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