Match Info

TBL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Sinan Erdem Dome (Istanbul)


	Esenler Erokspor		Ankaragücü

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.29	3.1
	1.24	3.52
	1.46	2.53
	1.7	2.05
	1.4	2.8
	1.29	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)	2.74 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esenler Erokspor
65.6%

Ankaragücü
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esenler Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esenler Erokspor's performance.

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankaragücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esenler Erokspor than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esenler Erokspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankaragücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: Esenler Erokspor will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esenler Erokspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
00. Crawford J.	16. Elledy C. J.
27. Erulku T.	9. Ercan C.
7. Kandemir H.	77. Mentese S.
32. Sarikaya Y.	0. Veal M.
11. Simmons J.	15. Yapar H. (C)
Substitutes
41. Akyel M.	11. Avci H.
9. Bayar B.	35. Berke A.
23. Genc A.	99. Erol A.
21. Gorur M. (C)	23. Ozalp M.
3. Ozdogan M.	34. Senturk S.
22. Sinirlioglu B.	25. Sonmez D.
4. Uzun H.	4. Uzuner A.

Preview

Esenler Erokspor leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

Esenler Erokspor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ankaragücü has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ankaragücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Esenler Erokspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Esenler Erokspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 299:322. (average 74.8:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Esenler Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 215:244. (average 71.7:81.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esenler Erokspor Basketball
Turkish TBL
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81 ✺
06.05.25	Cayirova - Esenler Erokspor	76:89 ✺
03.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Cayirova	105:80 ✺
30.04.25	Balıkesir - Esenler Erokspor	77:84 ✺
27.04.25	Esenler Erokspor - Balıkesir	116:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- MKE Ankaragücü Basketball
Turkish TBL
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81 ✺
10.05.25	Ankaragücü - Konya BBSK	81:54 ✺
07.05.25	Konya BBSK - Ankaragücü	90:79 ✺
04.05.25	Ankaragücü - Konya BBSK	84:64 ✺
01.05.25	Gaziantep BB BT - Ankaragücü	78:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
14.05.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	89:81
10.03.25	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	72:85
17.11.24	Ankaragücü - Esenler Erokspor	78:84
06.02.24	Esenler Erokspor - Ankaragücü	54:78

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