Match Info

Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sinan Erdem Dome (Istanbul)


	Esenler Erokspor		Galatasaray

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.05
	1.57	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esenler Erokspor
58.2%

Galatasaray
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esenler Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esenler Erokspor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esenler Erokspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Esenler Erokspor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: Esenler Erokspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arna E.	33. Gillespie F.
12. Cornelie P.	8. Korkmaz C.
22. Love J.	9. Meeks J.
4. Pangos K.	12. Palmer J.
11. Simmons J.	22. Petrucelli J.
Substitutes
14. Akyazili T.	0. Ellis B.
41. Akyel M.	5. Gorener T.
1. Crawford J. (C)	3. McCollum E. (C)
44. Duverioglu A.	10. Oncel R.
9. Galloway L.	1. Robinson J.
7. Gazi E.	19. Tuncer B.
15. Thurman T.	77. Yasar M.
Coaches
. Sarica U.	. Pozzecco G.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Esenler Erokspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Esenler Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esenler Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 76:88.

Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now

Galatasaray: 2.59% Esenler Erokspor: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Esenler Erokspor	3	2	1	262:254	5
10	Galatasaray	2	1	1	173:157	3

Last Results with these Odds

Esenler Erokspor - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.01%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esenler Erokspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
22.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Esenler Erokspor	88:94 ✺
14.03.26	Esenler Erokspor - Petkim Spor	74:57 ✺
08.03.26	Tofaş - Esenler Erokspor	81:91 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
17.02.26	Esenler Erokspor - Fenerbahçe	76:83 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
14.02.26	Esenler Erokspor - Bahcesehir Koleji	60:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLL
- Galatasaray Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
21.03.26	Galatasaray - Büyükçekmece	98:94 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.03.26	Galatasaray - Rytas	81:90 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
15.03.26	Mersin SK - Galatasaray	114:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.03.26	Hapoel Holon - Galatasaray	74:87 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.03.26	Galatasaray - Türk Telekom BK	90:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
23.11.25	Galatasaray - Esenler Erokspor	88:76

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