Match Info

Super Lig - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu (Mersin)


	Mersin SK		Galatasaray

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.47
	2.53	1.42
	2.72	1.41	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.56	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mersin SK
35.7%

Galatasaray
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mersin SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mersin SK than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mersin SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galatasaray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mersin SK - Galatasaray Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Cowan Jr. A.	33. Gillespie F.
9. Cruz Saldivar F. J.	8. Korkmaz C.
0. Olaseni G.	12. Palmer J.
10. Tirpanci E. E.	22. Petrucelli J.
14. White J.	35. White F.
Substitutes
5. Apaydin L. H.	16. Dalgali C.
6. Cekici K.	5. Gorener T.
22. Chassang A.	3. McCollum E.
23. Enoch S.	9. Meeks J.
4. March R.	10. Oncel R.
3. Ozmizrak K.	19. Tuncer B.
8. Sayili H.	77. Yasar M.
Coaches
. Duran Ortega C.	. Pozzecco G.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mersin won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mersin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of away games.

Galatasaray is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mersin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 550:612. (average 68.8:76.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mersin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 329:341. (average 65.8:68.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Galatasaray	2	1	1	173:157	3

Last Results with these Odds

Galatasaray - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.45%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mersin SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Mersin SK	91:78 ✺
15.02.26	Mersin SK - Petkim Spor	104:103 OT ✺
07.02.26	Tofaş - Mersin SK	83:88 ✺
31.01.26	Mersin SK - Bahcesehir Koleji	87:80 OT ✺
24.01.26	Beşiktaş - Mersin SK	84:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- Galatasaray Basketball
Champions League Basketball
10.03.26	Hapoel Holon - Galatasaray	74:87 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
07.03.26	Galatasaray - Türk Telekom BK	90:93 ✺
15.02.26	Karşıyaka - Galatasaray	68:74 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.02.26	Le Mans - Galatasaray	81:94 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	79:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
09.11.25	Galatasaray - Mersin SK	85:79
22.03.25	Mersin SK - Galatasaray	89:73
16.11.24	Galatasaray - Mersin SK	101:82
07.05.14	Mersin SK - Galatasaray	88:100
13.01.14	Galatasaray - Mersin SK	85:60
16.03.13	Mersin SK - Galatasaray	68:95
24.11.12	Mersin SK - Galatasaray	84:73

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