Match Info

LPB - Round 5

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	A Bola TV


	Esgueira		Vasco Da Gama Porto

	1	2
	1.39	2.65	Watch
	1.31	2.86
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
66.8%

Vasco Da Gama Porto
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vasco Da Gama Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Esgueira - Vasco Da Gama Porto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Barnstable D.	13. Akoi Y.
7. Bilamu N.	9. Ambrosio F.
20. Garita E.	24. Clancey S.
3. Porter M.	10. Ferreira F.
0. Reid L.	2. Lindsey L.
Substitutes
12. Andrade T. (C)	8. Coutinho I.
34. Antonio Y.	34. Domingues K.
10. Ferreira H.	46. Gomes A.
6. Martins J.	28. Lima E.
23. Oliveira M.	21. Lopes P.
97. Sousa A.	11. Nobre R. (C)
21. Tong B.	14. Shepherd-Hills J.
Coaches
. Silva S.	. Freitas N.

Preview

In recent matches, Esgueira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco Da Gama is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Esgueira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	81:101 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	81:102 ✺
Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	Braga - Esgueira	79:103 ✺
11.10.25	Esgueira - Galitos Barreiro	102:92 ✺
04.10.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	81:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL
- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Braga	74:84 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - CAQ Queluz	67:76 ✺
Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	Galitos Barreiro - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:111 ✺
11.10.25	Ovarense - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:75 ✺
04.10.25	Porto - Vasco Da Gama Porto	95:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Esgueira	81:84

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