Match Info

Taca da Liga

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sports Pavilion Lamacaes (Braga)


	Braga		Esgueira

	1	2
	1.38	2.6
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
65.5%

Esgueira
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esgueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Blaylock D.	15. Barnstable D.
6. Cardoso C.	7. Bilamu N.
7. Fofana M.	10. Ferreira H.
11. Monteiro R.	20. Garita E.
5. Moreira A.	98. Gordon M.
Substitutes
25. Alves S.	12. Andrade T. (C)
3. Bingham II J.	34. Antonio Y.
15. Kone M.	0. Barker D.
1. Peixoto M.	6. Martins J.
39. Pinheiro R.	23. Oliveira M.
10. Robinson B.	3. Porter M.
18. Samuco E. (C)	97. Sousa A.
Coaches
. Grenha P.	. Silva S.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Braga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Braga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:103.

Including home match between the teams, Braga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:103.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga Basketball
Portuguese LPB
01.02.26	CAQ Queluz - Braga	83:82 ✺
24.01.26	Braga - Galitos Barreiro	78:70 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - Braga	85:84 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.01.26	Braga - Ovarense	74:86 ✺
03.01.26	Porto - Braga	98:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
31.01.26	Galitos Barreiro - Esgueira	88:75 ✺
24.01.26	Esgueira - Ovarense	76:79 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	78:100 ✺
Portuguese LPB
10.01.26	Esgueira - Porto	76:67 ✺
03.01.26	Benfica - Esgueira	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	Braga - Esgueira	79:103

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