Match Info

CHILE: LNB - Play Out - Final

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Gimnasio Municipal Talca (Talca)


	Español de Talca		Puerto Montt

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.63	2.08
	1.64	2.08
	1.57	2.3
	1.66	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Español de Talca
56.8%

Puerto Montt
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Español de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de Talca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Español de Talca - Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Baker R.	23. Cardenas J.
24. Bravo F. (C)	42. Donta Wadell N.
10. Chialva S.	6. Gomez S.
1. Gomez R.	14. Torres C. (C)
21. Serna S.	8. Ulloa N.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez-Salamanca L.	3. Funk H.
9. Caceres I.	35. Jones J.
12. Davies S.	11. Ojeda C.
51. Diaz M.	9. Ovando J.
11. Foreman D.	12. Rodallega W.
18. Guaico V.	7. Turra Diaz F.
2. Lemus Gardilcic B.
Coaches
. Gatica P.	. Tapia J.

Preview

3rd leg. Puerto Montt leads series 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Español de Talca won 2.

Español de Talca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Puerto Montt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Español de Talca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Español de Talca have a series of guest games.

Español de Talca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Español de Talca won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 705-791.

Including matches at home between the teams Español de Talca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 227-228.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Español de Talca
Chilean LNB
12.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	87:77 ✺
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74 ✺
04.05.24	Ancud - Español de Talca	87:82 ✺
03.05.24	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Español de Talca	75:76 OT ✺
27.04.24	Universidad De Concepción - Español de Talca	101:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLWL
- CEB Puerto Montt
Chilean LNB
12.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	87:77 ✺
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74 ✺
05.05.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Puerto Montt	83:68 ✺
04.05.24	Liceo Pablo Neruda - Puerto Montt	79:65 ✺
28.04.24	Puerto Montt - Puente Alto	73:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
12.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	87:77
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74
13.04.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	85:87
02.02.24	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	88:80
02.04.23	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	114:88
21.01.23	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	70:69
19.03.22	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	69:79

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