Match Info

Super Lig - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ülker Sports Arena (Istanbul)


	Fenerbahçe		Mersin SK

	1	2
			Watch
	1.1	6
	1.05	5.92
	1.08	6.61
	1.06	8
	1.1	6.25
	1.04	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.04)	6.63 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
86.1%

Mersin SK
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Mersin SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fenerbahçe - Mersin SK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Baldwin W.	9. Cruz Saldivar F. J. (C)
92. Birch K.	0. Olaseni G.
50. Colson B.	3. Ozmizrak K.
5. Eksioglu M.	10. Tirpanci E. E.
18. Jantunen M.	14. White J.
Substitutes
1. Birsen J.	5. Apaydin L. H.
17. Bitim O.	6. Cekici K.
12. De Colo N.	22. Chassang A.
9. Demir D.	7. Cowan Jr. A.
10. Mahmutoglu M. (C)	23. Enoch S.
30. Silva C.	4. March R.
32. Zagars A.	8. Sayili H.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Duran Ortega C.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 5.

Fenerbahçe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mersin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fenerbahçe has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 628:505. (average 78.5:63.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 262:206. (average 65.5:51.5).

Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now

Fenerbahce: 50.15% Mersin SK: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	268:267	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
05.03.26	Fenerbahçe - AS Monaco Basket	88:70 ✺
25.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Partizan Belgrade	81:78 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	91:74 ✺
20.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Türk Telekom BK	86:78 ✺
17.02.26	Esenler Erokspor - Fenerbahçe	76:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Mersin SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
15.02.26	Mersin SK - Petkim Spor	104:103 OT ✺
07.02.26	Tofaş - Mersin SK	83:88 ✺
31.01.26	Mersin SK - Bahcesehir Koleji	87:80 OT ✺
24.01.26	Beşiktaş - Mersin SK	84:59 ✺
18.01.26	Mersin SK - Körfez	81:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
02.11.25	Mersin SK - Fenerbahçe	78:87
30.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Mersin SK	101:93
01.12.24	Mersin SK - Fenerbahçe	69:98
26.01.14	Fenerbahçe - Mersin SK	87:63
12.10.13	Mersin SK - Fenerbahçe	75:100
18.02.13	Mersin SK - Fenerbahçe	77:81
28.10.12	Fenerbahçe - Mersin SK	74:50

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