Match Info

Euroleague - Round 20

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ülker Sports Arena (Istanbul)

Referee: Silva S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Spain	M+ Deportes 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.18
	1.58	2.5
	1.62	2.1
	1.7	2.24	Watch
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
57.8%

Olympiacos Piraeus
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 177.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -9.5, OT - Olympiacos (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Olympiacos (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Melli N.	16. Papanikolaou K.
13. Biberovic T.	14. Vezenkov A.
92. Birch K.	45. Hall D.
8. Horton-Tucker T.	0. Walkup T.
20. Hall D.	22. Dorsey T.
Substitutes
00. Bacot A.	37. Antetokounmpo K.
2. Baldwin W.	94. Fournier E.
11. Boston B.	5. Larentzakis G.
50. Colson B.	11. Morris M.
18. Jantunen M.	21. Netzipoglou O.
10. Mahmutoglu M.	25. Peters A.
30. Silva C.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Bartzokas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3.

Fenerbahçe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olympiacos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1497:1494. (average 74.9:74.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 646:614. (average 80.8:76.8).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
3	Olympiacos	4	3	1	382:342
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.01.26	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	87:101 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	93:108 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Körfez	93:79 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	72:71 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
20.12.25	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	99:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Olympiacos Piraeus BC
Greek Basket League A1
04.01.26	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:95 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	82:87 ✺
26.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Olympiacos Piraeus	94:97 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
21.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Kolossos Rodou	100:86 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - ASVEL Basket	107:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
24.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	77:87
04.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	82:71
26.05.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	87:84
12.04.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	84:81 OT
02.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	79:77
09.05.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe	84:72
05.05.23	Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus	73:69

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