Match Info

Euroleague - Round 19

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Spain	M+ Deportes 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	2.22	1.65	Watch
	2.18	1.7
	2.45	1.6
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.78	Watch
	2.35	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.57)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
42.9%

Fenerbahçe
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baskonia's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Baskonia - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 4 - 40%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Baskonia (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Diop K.	13. Biberovic T.
77. Joksimovic S.	92. Birch K.
7. Kurucs R.	20. Hall D.
17. Radzevicius G.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
2. Simmons K.	4. Melli N.
Substitutes
1. Diakite M.	00. Bacot A.
11. Forrest T.	2. Baldwin W.
25. Frisch C.	1. Birsen J.
0. Howard M.	11. Boston B.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	50. Colson B.
5. Omoruyi E.	18. Jantunen M.
10. Spagnolo M.	10. Mahmutoglu M.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Baskonia has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1580:1638. (average 79:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 800:765. (average 80:76.5).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
14	Baskonia	3	1	2	263:293

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
29.12.25	CB Breogán - Baskonia	100:103 ✺
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Valencia - Baskonia	91:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	90:93 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Körfez	93:79 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	72:71 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
20.12.25	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	99:73 ✺
Euroleague
18.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Fenerbahçe	72:87 ✺
16.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Panathinaikos	77:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
28.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	82:76
03.12.24	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	88:76
01.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	111:96
06.12.23	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	80:79
31.03.23	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	92:69
16.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	70:76
23.03.22	Baskonia - Fenerbahçe	77:62

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