Match Info

Euroleague - Round 18

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ülker Sports Arena (Istanbul)

Referee: Kardum L. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	M+ Deportes
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		Barcelona

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.54	2.48
	1.56	2.57
	1.5	2.38
	1.54	2.58	Watch
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
61.5%

Barcelona
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Fenerbahçe - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -10.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Barcelona (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Biberovic T.	3. Cale M.
4. Melli N.	5. Norris M.
92. Birch K.	6. Vesely J.
8. Horton-Tucker T.	0. Punter K.
20. Hall D.	13. Satoransky T.
Substitutes
0. Bacot A.	8. Brizuela D.
2. Baldwin W.	19. Fall Y.
1. Birsen J.	14. Hernangomez W.
11. Boston B.	41. Keita S.
50. Colson B.	20. Laprovittola N.
10. Mahmutoglu M.	2. Marcos J.
32. Zagars A.	44. Parra J.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Pascual X.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2.

Fenerbahçe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barcelona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fenerbahçe could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Barcelona will win today's game, with odds of 2.5.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1525:1605. (average 76.3:80.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 785:777. (average 78.5:77.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.14%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
20.12.25	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	99:73 ✺
Euroleague
18.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Fenerbahçe	72:87 ✺
16.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Panathinaikos	77:81 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
14.12.25	Fenerbahçe - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	97:94 OT ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Fenerbahçe	86:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	Barcelona - Joventut Badalona	90:80 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
16.12.25	Paris - Barcelona	69:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Basquet Manresa - Barcelona	62:89 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	98:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
02.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	75:83
17.12.24	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	90:63
20.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	88:74
08.12.23	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	89:81
10.03.23	Fenerbahçe - Barcelona	81:73
04.11.22	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	81:80
25.03.22	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	88:67

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