Match Info

Liga A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Polideportivo Independiente DSC (Oliva)


	Independiente de Oliva		Gimnasia y Esgrima

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.9
	1.89	1.93
	1.82	1.88
	1.8	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de Oliva
50.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de Oliva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind de Oliva will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caffaro A.	22. Carabali B.
6. Marcucci N. J.	6. Cisneros A.
9. Rolfi F.	9. Dato M.
8. Tabarez P.	77. Grun F.
19. Vallejos R.	12. Toretta E.
Substitutes
7. Barrionuevo F.	10. Carrasco S.
2. Conrradi F.	3. Centeno J.
12. Duvanced V.	5. Chacon M.
5. Fernandez M.	30. Cosolito M.
27. Filipetti E.	11. Horton K.
51. Hurtado C.	14. Rivero C.
10. Pautasso A.

Preview

Gimnasia leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gimnasia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gimnasia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 866:934. (average 78.7:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind de Oliva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 414:418. (average 82.8:83.6).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Gimnasia: 16.29% Independiente de Oliva: 1.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Gimnasia	4	2	2	314:311	0.500
14	Independiente de Oliva	1	0	1	92:97	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de Oliva
Argentinian LNB
13.05.26	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	78:76 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	77:72 ✺
08.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	78:66 ✺
02.05.26	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	97:92 ✺
30.04.26	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	83:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
13.05.26	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	78:76 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	77:72 ✺
08.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	78:66 ✺
17.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Argentino	89:74 ✺
11.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
13.05.26	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	78:76
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	77:72
08.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	78:66
27.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	91:82
21.10.25	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	81:78
21.03.25	Independiente de Oliva - Gimnasia y Esgrima	79:84
13.10.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Independiente de Oliva	97:83

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