Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Montenegro	TVCG 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Finland		Georgia

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.55	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.54
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)	2.61 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
63.2%

Georgia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finland's performance.

Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Georgia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finland than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Georgia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.7%	1.9%	26.4%

Finland - Georgia Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 37 - 74%). Georgia will win (votes: 13 - 26%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 61.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Finland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 163, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Finland will win (26 of 35 users predict this - 74.29%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 27 - 75%). Georgia (votes: 9 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Grandison J. PAOK	44. Baldwin K. Saski Baskonia
18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce	35. Bitadze G. Orlando Magic
1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara	5. Mamukelashvili S. Wisconsin Herd
23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz	10. Sanadze D. Halcones de Xalapa
19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada	23. Shengelia T. (C) Virtus Bologna
Substitutes
30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket	4. Andronikashvili R. Obradoiro CAB
20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida	7. Burjanadze B. Leyma Coruna
21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque	6. Kakhaber J. Amra
24. Muurinen M.	12. Korsantia G. Kutaisi
13. Nkamhoua O. Varese	77. Ochkhikidze G. Kutaisi
9. Salin S. (C) Estudiantes	15. Phevadze A.
35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna	9. Shermadini G. Tenerife
Coaches
. Tuovi L.	. Dzikic A.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Finland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Finland could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Finland will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 310:332. (average 77.5:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland basketball
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Serbia - Finland	86:92 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
30.08.25	Montenegro - Finland	65:85 ✺
29.08.25	Finland - Great Britain	109:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLLWW
- Georgia basketball
EuroBasket
07.09.25	France - Georgia	70:80 ✺
04.09.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Georgia	84:76 ✺
02.09.25	Cyprus - Georgia	61:93 ✺
31.08.25	Georgia - Greece	53:94 ✺
30.08.25	Italy - Georgia	78:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
24.11.24	Georgia - Finland	81:64
21.11.24	Finland - Georgia	83:90
21.02.21	Georgia - Finland	70:78
28.11.20	Finland - Georgia	85:91

Finland - Georgia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide